A Prediction of N-value Using Regression Analysis Based on Data Augmentation

Kwang Myung Kim; Hyoung June Park; Jae Beom Lee; Chan Jin Park

doi:10.9720/kseg.2022.2.221

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2022 Vol.32, Issue 2 Preview Page Next Page

Research Article

A Prediction of N-value Using Regression Analysis Based on Data Augmentation 데이터 증강 기반 회귀분석을 이용한 N치 예측

30 June 2022. pp. 221-239

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Abstract

Unknown geotechnical characteristics are key challenges in the design of piles for the plant, civil and building works. Although the N-values which were read through the standard penetration test are important, those N-values of the whole area are not likely acquired in common practice. In this study, the N-value is predicted by means of regression analysis with artificial intelligence (AI). Big data is important to improve learning performance of AI, so circular augmentation method is applied to build up the big data at the current study. The optimal model was chosen among applied AI algorithms, such as artificial neural network, decision tree and auto machine learning. To select optimal model among the above three AI algorithms is to minimize the margin of error. To evaluate the method, actual data and predicted data of six performed projects in Poland, Indonesia and Malaysia were compared. As a result of this study, the AI prediction of this method is proven to be reliable. Therefore, it is realized that the geotechnical characteristics of non-boring points were predictable and the optimal arrangement of structure could be achieved utilizing three dimensional N-value distribution map.

Keywords

regression analysis

N-value

artificial intelligence

circular augmentation method

artificial neural network

decision tree

automatic machine learning

플랜트, 토목 및 건축 사업에서 말뚝 설계 시 어려움을 겪는 주된 요인은 지반 특성의 불확실성이다. 특히 표준관입시험을 통해 구한 N치가 설계 시 주요 입력값이나 짧은 입찰기간과 광범위한 구역에서 다수의 현장시험을 실시하는 것은 실제적으로 어려운 상황이다. 본 연구에서는 인공지능(AI)을 가지고 회귀분석을 적용하여 N치를 예측하는 연구를 수행하였으며, 최소한의 시추자료를 학습시킨 후 표준관입시험을 실시하지 못한 곳에서 N치를 예측하는데 그 목적이 있다. AI의 학습 성능을 높이기 위해서는 빅 데이터가 중요하며, 금회 연구 시 부족한 시추자료를 빅 데이터화 하는데 ‘원형증강법’을 적용하여 시추반경 2 m까지 가상 N치를 생성시키는 작업을 선행하였다. AI 모델 중 인공신경망, 의사결정 나무, 오토 머신러닝을 각각 적용하였으며 이 중 최적의 모델을 선택하였다. 최적의 모델을 선택하는 방법은 세 가지의 예측된 AI 모델 중 최소 오차값을 가지는 것이다. 이를 위해 폴란드, 인도네시아, 말레이시아에서 수행한 6개 프로젝트를 대상으로 표준관입시험의 실측N치와 AI의 예측N치를 비교하여 타당성 여부를 연구하였고, 연구 결과 AI 예측값에 대한 신뢰도가 높은 것으로 분석되었다. AI 예측값을 가지고 미시추 구간에서 지반특성을 파악 할 수 있었으며 3차원 N치 분포도를 사용하면 최적의 구조물 배치가 가능함을 확인하였다.

키워드

회귀분석

N치

인공지능

원형증강법

인공신경망

의사결정나무

오토 머신러닝

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Information

Publisher :Korean Society of Engineering Geology
Publisher(Ko) :대한지질공학회
Journal Title :The Journal of Engineering Geology
Journal Title(Ko) :지질공학
Volume : 32
No :2
Pages :221-239
Received Date : 2022-04-05
Revised Date : 2022-05-17
Accepted Date : 2022-05-17
DOI :https://doi.org/10.9720/kseg.2022.2.221

The Journal of Engineering GeologyISSN:1226-5268(Print) 2287-7169(Online)대한지질공학회

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